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M.Chehreganly: the fall of the Tehran regime will change the geopolitics of the region
BayBak, Azerbaijan | 357 days ago | Saturday, 2nd June , 2012 , 23:12 [pm] | Azerbaijan
|.|| Q: How do you see prospects for the Iranian-Azerbaijani relations?
Answer: Based on the essence of the Iranian regime’s intentions, we can assume that these relations will continue to escalate. The reason is the fact that Iran does not want to accept the independence of Azerbaijan. In Iran,
Against the backdrop of growing international tension over Iran, there is a confrontation in relations between Tehran and Baku. At the same time, there are reports on the strengthening of the protests in Iran itself. In an interview with www.contact.az the situation in and around Iran was commented on by the leader of the Southern Azerbaijan National Awakening Movement (SANAM) Mahmudali Chehreganly living in exile in the USA.
Q: How do you see prospects for the Iranian-Azerbaijani relations?
Answer: Based on the essence of the Iranian regime’s intentions, we can assume that these relations will continue to escalate. The reason is the fact that Iran does not want to accept the independence of Azerbaijan. In Iran, Azerbaijan is perceived as the North of Iran. In Tehran, a pro-government newspaper is even published under the name of North of Iran. Under the doctrine of the Iranian regime the strengthening of Azerbaijan means the weakening of Iran, and ultimately its collapse. If the 35 million Iranian Azeris see modern and strong Azerbaijan, they will never agree to live under the regime of the mullahs. Therefore, the Iranian regime will always be against the development of Azerbaijan. Tehran not only suppresses the rights of the Azerbaijanis. According to reports of the UN, the U.S. State Department, Amnesty International and many others, Iran is a prison for journalists. Over the past three years in this country hundreds of journalists were arrested and tortured. The same number of them was forced to leave the country.
Question: Are the relations between the West and Iran soured only because of its nuclear program, or for some other reason?
Answer: The Iranian regime sees its existence in the creation of nuclear weapons. Tehran believes that if they create them, then the regime will be insured, and no one can put pressure on it. Now, a new political map of the region is being drawn, and perhaps very soon we will see a new political configuration of the Middle East, the Caucasus and North Africa.
Q: What can cause a military invasion in Iran?
Answer: The Iranian regime is supported by 120-billion-dollar annual income and the armed forces. Despite the multi-ethnic Iranian nation, there is no national equality in this country. If Iran holds a fair referendum, the majority of the population will oppose the regime. In short, the Iranian regime sags inside even without external interference and we can expect that the regime will fall as a result of internal protests. However, the nuclear program, interference in the internal affairs of its neighbors, and support for regimes such as Syria, Hezbollah and other activities increase the likelihood of invasion, changes in the geopolitical balance, the collapse of countries like Syria, Iraq, Pakistan and Iran. New states will be Iraqi Kurdistan, Shiite Iraq, Sunni Iraq, Sunni Syria, Alawite Syria and the Syrian Kurdish Region. This process can also lead to the independence of Pakistan’s Baluchistan, Iranian Persian State, Iranian Baluchistan, Iranian Arabistan, Western Turkmenistan, Iranian Kurdistan, and South Azerbaijan.
Q: What do you think about the movement Mujahedin-e Khalq?
Answer: This organization has historical roots. In the 1980s they had the support of the masses. However, they made two historic mistakes: as a result of their mass terror, thousands of people were killed, and in the eight-year Iran-Iraq war, they took the side of Saddam Hussein. Despite opposition to the Tehran regime, the organization itself is based on religion and on the degree of racism and chauvinism is not inferior to the regime of mullahs. Therefore, Mujahedin-e Khalq has no support in Iran, especially in Southern Azerbaijan.
Q: How do you assess the probability of creating unified Azerbaijan?
A: I fully agree with the thesis of the late Abulfaz Elchibey on “nationalistic statehood and integrity.” In North and South Azerbaijan the National Liberation Movement occurs independently, and the last stage of this process will lead to unification. Azerbaijan has already passed the stage of the beginning of the national movement and independence. In South Azerbaijan since 1995, began a national movement, too, and soon we will see the creation of independent Southern Azerbaijan. Next to come is the union of South and North Azerbaijan, like the reunification of East and West Germany. If the Iranian regime decides to commit aggression against North Azerbaijan, Iran’s 35 million Azeris will oppose this and it will only speed up the disintegration of Iran and the independence of South Azerbaijan.contact, Voice of a Nation